So, Harper may have laid the straw that broke the camel's back, in accusing Bains of trying to protect his father in law from the Air India Inquiry. Even if the man is on the list of interviewees, that's pretty harsh. And will probably lose Harper some support amongst those Canadians who believe in the whole "innocent until proven guilty thing."
My bets are on a Spring election. Now of course, everyone will deny it, but if one was to attempt to apply some sort of logic or rational thinking to our federal government, it would make sense.
- All the parties have leaders who are doing adequate jobs
- The polls are relatively constant, so a good campaign could help almost anyone win
- Climate change is the big issue. If we have a wonky summer, it will reflect very badly on the Conservatives, making it desirable for them to get in an election before then.
- Again, climate change is an issue. The Liberals/NDP can play on the wonky winter and the melting arctic ice caps to say it's time for a change
- Not a whole lot is actually getting done by our government currently--they're too busy squabbling.
- Spring is seasonally the most desirable time of year for campaigning. People are happy that summer's coming, travel's not too bad, and you're not interfering with people's Christmas, summer vacation, or preparation for back to school and work.
- Everyone's filling constituencies and is prepared for an election at the drop of a hat
The negatives? The parties don't really have clearly distinct platforms in the minds of voters. So it will come down to personalities, and people aren't generally stoked on any of the leaders--Harper's shrewd, chubby, and sometimes makes comments that reflect really poorly on him and his caucus, Layton's smarmy, says stupid things sometimes, and has an affinity for bad ties, while Dion, he's French (which for many, is a strike against him), his English is cute, but not fluent, and he's still a new leader--his bonus--he dresses himself decently in an owlish academic way. Plus, he has a dog.
People love animals, you know.
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